FIRST STEP TO RECOVERY

Voice of Reason:

On April 02, 2020, Amazon-KDP,  blocked the manuscript with the title,  Voice of Reason, this, in my opinion, is due to the cover, and in particular, the question asked on the Cover;

Voice of Reason, what would your community do?
Voice of Reason, what would your community do?

I obviously would have handled it differently, and thus the  manuscript, and in particular my question.

My intention when writing the  manuscript, very simply, was to get every South African, to start thinking about how they would handle every aspect that effects, or,  affects their lives.

On April 05, 2020,  I entered social media with  post, showing that the Coronavirus projected exponential curve, had flattened, but indicated that I expected spikes from April 05 to 09, and that I would remain exiled from Social Media, till this period is over.

The Curve levels off.
The Curve levels off.

Importantly, as I provide my input on moving forward, this above graph, i celebrate, not because the Curve was flattening, but I Scientists and Consultants, had set their understanding of what they were trying to achieve, the lockdown would flatten the exponential curve, projected to achieve 5000 positive cases by April 01.

The Curve had ‘flattened’ and the system should have maintained the status quo, the system had tested 44 292 by April 01, and testing is introduced with a vengeance on April 01,  in the next fifteen days, another 50 000 tests are conducted, and the projected 5 000 positives are still days away.

This is my last comment on testing and the number of cases, from now I only discuss the deaths and death ratios, if it is lives we are saving, let us talk life and death.

Our “First Step to Recovery” is to scrutinise a few ‘selected countries’ and their death ratios on April 19, 2020,  (fig below) your comments on the death ratios is invited, should you wish me to add a specific country of interest to the table. Please advise me on email.

I make no comment on my next move, death and death ratios, life and death statistics, will allow us to move forward.

death ratios / 100000
death ratios / 100000

Cedric de la Harpe

cedric@cedricdelaharpe.co.za