My personal philosophy on Coronavirus management;

My personal philosophy on Coronavirus management;

As South Africa fails to achieve ‘lockdown’ on day 1 of the 21 day lockdown, the Alexandra Township being the problem, I need to pen my thoughts on how the Human Dictate ‘Voice of Reason’ Philosophy would have handled the pandemic, if the system dictate was not in control.

The Federal and Canton system that the Human Dictate Philosophy promotes, features from Pamphlet 40, very simply, it is that the human will dictate how we handle all aspects of our lives, from health, security, education, et cetera, therefore, as you read this pamphlet, place yourself in a position, where you are able to make decisions of how to manage and control your life, and those of your community?

What the Coronavirus has done to the world, is bringing fear to ‘everyone’, and if you allow fear to dominate your thinking and resulting actions, the fear will reduce you immune system’s capacity to protect you. If you are like me, ‘Aged’, with other complications associated with age, the fear that we are being exposed to as the Coronavirus, approaches us, will negatively impact on the ‘complications associated with age, and should you be exposed to the virus, the medical responders will be faced with complications when treating you.

This generated fear, brings support for the South African Police’s violent abuse on the Townships, from the upper and middle-class living in comfort in the suburbs, the typical comment is;

“That is good they do not want to listen, they must be taught, they must learn to obey the President.” 

Once you are in a position to make your own decisions, with the support of your community, fear will not be part of the process.          

In later Pamphlets, I use Switzerland as an example that we should follow, with regard to their Federal and Canton system, so firstly I must comment on what I saw as a problem to control the virus in Switzerland, and that is the migration of essential service personnel, from across their border, it is typical of what South Africa will face, in a few weeks, not days.

Firstly, the international border control, for movement in and out of the Country, would be controlled by the Canton where the border is located, when the virus is first brought to our attention, the local canton management committees, in the case of ORT Airport, Johannesburg, Alexandra, Soweto, Pretoria, Kempton Park, Benoni, and all the others not mentioned, would have a meeting, and implement control measures.

No person would be allowed to leave the Country, if they were travelling through any of the Countries where the virus had already been identified.

Those travellers, who were not moving through countries where the virus had already been identified, would become part of the ‘movement management’ system, where the travel particulars are registered, under their residential Canton, let us use Johannesburg Canton as the example, and the Johannesburg Canton management committee, will have the responsibility of maintaining contact with the traveller, ensuring that he is met on return, duly tested, and that the Johannesburg Canton monitors the traveller, in terms of the testing level that is in place.

The travellers arriving from, or through any infected Country, would be tested, if negative, they will be warned to avoid any social contact, and would be required to retest in ten days, and notify the port of entry, of the results.

More importantly, how do we manage the internal transmission between locals, who would have become infected locally.

        I live in the old Johannesburg, and according to my Human Dictate Philosophy, old Johannesburg would be an independent ‘greater Canton’, Alexandra Township, another, and the City of Soweto, our other Canton neighbour.

Johannesburg would probable be divided into 8 smaller Cantons, each with a management Committee, Alexandra into 4 smaller Cantons, and Soweto into 8 or more smaller Cantons.

Alexandra, and parts of Soweto, and other Cantons, could not possible be ‘locked-down’ on their individual properties, the majority of their properties, no more that 5mX5m, accommodating, 4 to 8 people. Alexandra as a community, could be locked-down, and free movement allowed inside the defined border of the larger Canton. 

The Alexandra and Soweto Canton communities, provide the bulk of the essential services labour, to the old Johannesburg Canton, and this would need to be managed, if we wish to reduce the transfer of any virus, in both directions.

Human Dictate is not going to decree how the Alexandra and Soweto larger Cantons, protect their residents, but as virtual CEO of the larger Johannesburg Canton, I would put the following plan of action into place.

On the day that our first resident tests positive,

1: All schools and educational institutions are closed,  any lost education can be made up in time.

1.1: The global world extends into all these educational institutions, with learners and students, needing to travel as far as 60 km to get to school every day.

1.2: These building and facilities will be used for the management of the essential services.

2: The smaller Cantons, will take control, of every essential service and business in the area, a business / medical node in the area, will be allocated an educational institution building, where all essential service providers staff / labour, will be accommodated, including provision for young children where needed.

2.1; Once we move into ‘lockdown’ stage, the essential service workers, will be in a safe controlled environment, within walking distance to the business / service provider.

2.2: This will remove the transport issues, where you will find packed busses, moving from outside of the Johannesburg area, in order to provide he essential services.

3: During Lockdown, no movement, between the larger Canton boundaries, will be permitted.

4: During Lockdown, the 8 smaller Johannesburg Cantons, will allow business that comply with the essential business / services accommodation protocols, to operate, the smaller Cantons will agree / define restrictions on jogging, dog-walking, and ensure that only residents of their smaller Cantons, are in the area that they are protecting.

5: Every smaller Canton, will identify the risk population, ‘Aged, who wish to be protected’ TB, HIV, and other health risks, and as a community, a system would be defined, where my home displays a white flag, I am ‘Aged, who wish to be protected’, I will wear a small white flag on my shoulder, and similar identifications for all risk categories.

6: As Canton Communities, making decisions on behalf of our Canton, protecting our Canton from infection, and ensuring that no infection leaves our Canton, we would be in the position, to take the necessary action, to control the impact of any virus.

Granted, Human Dictate will require us all to be on the front line to control the virus, today, our medics are fighting the battle, with limited support from us, even though we are in virtual total lockdown, while we rely on the system to stop all the leaks, it can never be done, without contribution from all.

Cedric de la Harpe

FIRST STEP TO RECOVERY

Voice of Reason:

On April 02, 2020, Amazon-KDP,  blocked the manuscript with the title,  Voice of Reason, this, in my opinion, is due to the cover, and in particular, the question asked on the Cover;

Voice of Reason, what would your community do?
Voice of Reason, what would your community do?

I obviously would have handled it differently, and thus the  manuscript, and in particular my question.

My intention when writing the  manuscript, very simply, was to get every South African, to start thinking about how they would handle every aspect that effects, or,  affects their lives.

On April 05, 2020,  I entered social media with  post, showing that the Coronavirus projected exponential curve, had flattened, but indicated that I expected spikes from April 05 to 09, and that I would remain exiled from Social Media, till this period is over.

The Curve levels off.
The Curve levels off.

Importantly, as I provide my input on moving forward, this above graph, i celebrate, not because the Curve was flattening, but I Scientists and Consultants, had set their understanding of what they were trying to achieve, the lockdown would flatten the exponential curve, projected to achieve 5000 positive cases by April 01.

The Curve had ‘flattened’ and the system should have maintained the status quo, the system had tested 44 292 by April 01, and testing is introduced with a vengeance on April 01,  in the next fifteen days, another 50 000 tests are conducted, and the projected 5 000 positives are still days away.

This is my last comment on testing and the number of cases, from now I only discuss the deaths and death ratios, if it is lives we are saving, let us talk life and death.

Our “First Step to Recovery” is to scrutinise a few ‘selected countries’ and their death ratios on April 19, 2020,  (fig below) your comments on the death ratios is invited, should you wish me to add a specific country of interest to the table. Please advise me on email.

I make no comment on my next move, death and death ratios, life and death statistics, will allow us to move forward.

death ratios / 100000
death ratios / 100000

Cedric de la Harpe

cedric@cedricdelaharpe.co.za

 

 

 

 

 

INFECTED THROUGH INTENT OR GROSS NEGLIGENCE?

FOOLS RUSH IN WHERE WISE MEN FEAR TO TREAD

In the USA, the coloured population have a higher death rate than the whites, and yesterday, during the 10 Downing Street media questions, it was admitted that the trend is showing in many of the United Kingdom areas, and they were very concerned about the trend and they needed to investigate it.

For days my black brothers and sisters have questioned this white old man about whether there is not an outside force directing the virus into the black communities, with intent, as happened in the spread of HIV. (Any one wish to question one of the videos sent to me, I will forward it with pleasure.)

The latest question with  video, posted to me last night, this causes me to go to the only detailed figures published, that of the Western Cape Provincial Government, and my conclusion is;

“Whether the infection was done through intent or gross negligence, only the responsible persons can answer thereto.”

The  Kyayalitsha and Mitchells Plain, Coronavirus   Curve Graph, and the official announcement by the Premier, provides the ‘Voice of Reason’ that brings  my conclusion, the trigger that frees Coronavirus Curve,  takes place between April 03, and April 06, when the news is published, and the Graph below, fills in the details;

I quote an April 06, published report that could have been implement from April 03?

6 April 2020

View all News

The Minister of Community Safety, Albert Fritz, commends the 500 newly deployed law enforcement officers, appointed through the Western Cape Safety Plan, who are playing a commendable role in supporting the enforcement of the lockdown. The law enforcement officers are supporting SAPS and SANDF as part of a joint effort.

Law Enforcement Advancement Plan (LEAP) law enforcement officers are supporting the lockdown by:

Working in 12-hour shifts at the Strandfontein SafeSpace to ensure that homeless individuals are kept safe;

Supporting the Covid-19 response team by operating in conjunction with SAPS and the Anti-Gang Unit to perform Covid-19 related operations and crime prevention operations within the various clusters;

Being deployed within the 8 clusters attending to Covid-19 complaints dispatched by the107 Control Centre; and

Assisting in the 8 clusters with a response team attached to the Covid-19 response team, particularly in response to gatherings, events and taverns operating in the respective areas.

Minister Fritz said, “I wish to commend the 500 newly deployed law enforcement officers who are supporting the joint command of SAPS and SANDF. These officers have been deployed in the Khayelitsha, Lenteqeur, Nyanga (including Bishop Lavis), Milnerton, Bellville, Wynberg, Delft, and Cape Town clusters. Additionally, they are supporting the Covid-19 response team and the Strandontein SafeSpace established to protect homeless individuals during the outbreak.”

“Over the course of the lockdown period, we have seen a staggering decline in crime and, in particular, alleged murder admissions or suspected murders. In the 14th week of 2020, there 31 suspected murders. Whilst this remains 31 deaths too many, this figure is considerably lower than the same period last year in which there were 105 suspected murders. In total, that marks a 70.5% decrease in suspected murders,” said Minister Fritz.

End of extracted quote:

Kyayalitsh and Mitchells Plain
Kyayalitsh and Mitchells Plain

Cedric de la Harpe

 

Dear Comrades in the Trenches

Dear Comrades in the Trenches:   01

My open letter to the President, has resulted in a lengthy response, on the WhatsApp group, it is a mindset challenge that I need to answer, not necessarily, just as a courtesy to the contributor, but to every one of my friends and family, who feel that I am giving the economy, preference over life.

The following contribution fits into pamphlet 01, and the screenshot below is the important part, that I need to answer satisfactorily;

Comment on Dear President
Comment on Dear President

We have been shown the Italian Coronavirus Curve, that is frightening, ours not, we do have escalation, the one example is the East London prison, that is climbing.

Coronavirus Curves
Coronavirus Curves

South Africa’s infections, can’t be compared with the Italian Coronavirus Curve, firstly, Italy was in their seasonal flu season, but as the Coronavirus Curve, reportedly attacks the elders, we look at how far apart we are, my assessment questions whether the experts have any medical or scientific theory to make a decision on the Western European curves;

The Italian population density is 4,20 times greater than in South Africa, and the percentage of the population over the age of 65 years 3,70 times greater than South Africa.

Italy versus South Africa's FACTOR
Italy versus South Africa’s FACTOR

We are shutting down our economy, when the Countries life expectancy does not allow many to get to 65, if the economy shuts down, the life expectancy will dip.

South Africa Life Expectancy
South Africa Life Expectancy

As a community, we need to be aware of those elderly who have medical conditions, because when our flu season arrives in May, the Coronavirus will be back.

If we look at Stats SA 2016 survey, 100 000 elderly people dies, and 80 000 of them died from causes that could be attributed to compromised immune system / underlying causes, do we attribute these normal deaths to Coronavirus, or can we expect 80 000 on top of these deaths.

Ten Causes of Death, among persons aged 60.
Ten Causes of Death, among persons aged 60.

I consider myself a ‘racist in recovery’, and often I have great difficult in expressing my thoughts, however, my white mindset, feared that this would happen, long before I discovered the history on the Spanish Flu, and this mindset, would be entrenched in every white European.

South Africa, having received the first 250 infected international travellers from March 01, 2020, has one of the lowest death rates, per 100 000 population in the world.

Africa is unexpectedly low, parts of Eastern Europe not far behind in the ‘low stakes’.

The African and Eastern European communities, for the past two hundred years, have needed to protect themselves from the pressures that they faced, in order to just to feed and educate themselves, and with a very limited medical service, these communities have needed to survive, by avoiding the medical obstacles.

These communities may not know what the Coronavirus is, but when there is a threat to their lives, they know how to protect themselves from the threat, they know how to survive.

On the other extreme, the Westerner needs to have any perceived threat in lockdown, for fifty years, they have not exposed themselves to any danger.

From a young child, they leave their home in mom’s car, and never get exposed to the danger outside the gate, high fences and the black security guard, protects them from the perceived threat.

The African children, throughout Africa, are street-wise from a very young age, the African children without ever becoming aware that they are being skilled, develop all their parents skills, and the most important skill developed, is the ‘survival skill’.

No medical or scientifically proven theory, has yet shown me that the ‘black people are going to die like flies’.

If I for one minute, believed that the blacks would die like flies, I would not concern myself about what is left of the economy when the storm has passed, there would be fewer people to feed, and those who survived the storm, would be grateful for what they could get.

I know the conditions that my black brothers and sisters live in, and when I saw news reports on Day 1 of the lockdown, my white mindset feared the projected 5 000 infections by April 01, 2020, my indigenous experienced mindset, had confidence that my black brothers and sisters would survive, and thus, with the economy destroyed, I feared for them.

I watched the statistics, and by April 05, I was surprised that the graph had not started moving exponentially.

When the system talks about restoring the Economy, this does not include he informal economy, in no text-book, in no curriculum, will you find the informal economy as part of the Capitalists thinking.

80% of the Africa population, live a life in the informal economy, this economy has fed and educated the masses in Africa, the Global World Brains Trust, know and understand the concept of load-shedding, our Electricity Supply Commission, our most experienced participant.

Very simply, once a network totally shuts down, getting it started is impossible, thus, load-shedding is aimed a keeping the system flow, even though at a reduced level, this keeps the entire system prepared to supply, when the ‘technicality’ is repaired.

The local taxi industry, the informal traders, the shebeens, the spaza shops, are the basis of the ‘black economy’, businesses that the black has developed, through the inconvenience of the white capitalist to get too close to the black population, has been shut down.

These industries are worth billions to the Global Market, who are preparing to move into the Townships and Rural Villages, as the informal and SMMEs are waiting for the promised funding that keeps them quiet while in the trenches.

Now back to the whether the ‘blacks will die like flies’?

Before I opened my mouth about the possibility that South Africa does not have an exponential virus curve because of the season, I scrutinised Europe, and found great discrepancies in certain areas, and the flu season was not the main contributor.

Nigeria, where the flu season ran from October to April, much like Italy, for the population has an extremely low Coronavirus death rate expressed as a percentage of the population, some 14 times less than South Africa.

Africa Coronavirus Summary
Africa Coronavirus Summary

Africa at this stage only has 835 deaths, at the percentage of population, 0,0000687%.

Eastern Europe, in the seasonal flu zone?

I accept that the Coronavirus is contagious, the African and parts of the Eastern European communities, unexpectedly, do not follow the Western European exponential infection curve.

Anyone following the Coronavirus news, will be aware of the Belarus President who rejected the Lockdown, kept his borders open, the Football league continued with spectators, the Ice Hockey league continued with spectators, and the world watch his country.

Belarus President, Alexander Lukashenko, does not Lockdown, and claims that none of his people will die from Coronavirus, not unless they have underlying medical conditions.

Having assessed his statistics, I looked at his neighbours, and one of which is Russia, this group completely different, still 5 times worse than South Africa, but hundreds of times better than Western Europe;

Belarus and neighbours   The next page compares the very vastly different Coronavirus deaths expressed as percentage of the population, expressed as  a ratio to 1 death in South Africa, and 1 death in Africa Total:

The percentage death ratio on population, 

                                   to 1  South African death,          to   1 Africa Total death

Japan                                        2,16                                          1,41

Russia +                                  4,95                                          3,24

China                                        5,31                                           3,48

USA                                        132,92                                        87,07

United Kingdom               376,32                                     246,50

France                                 496,42                                      325,16

Italy                                      732,60                                      479,87

The Westerner fears the Coronavirus, Japan does not go into total lockdown, keeping their economy stable, if it was not for the Western teams withdrawing from the Olympics, Japan would have gone ahead.

World Summary Comparisons
World Summary Comparisons 

China is back in business, Russia is issuing permission to travel.

My wife and I are both 70 >, we will be one of the elderly death statistics if not in 2020, but soon, I can’t ask anyone to sacrifice their economy, while I need to survive another season under lockdown.

The Global Market Brains Trust, will decide when the war to save lives is over, the death statistics will be forgotten. The majority of the population, suffering human rights abuses, will celebrate the aggressor, the victor, no matter what shape, what form, what colour they are, with welcome waves, as the drink, clothing, and food supply trucks move in.

Cedric de la Harpe

Coronavirus experiences changes mindsets let the Voice of Reason talk

Coronavirus experiences changes mindsets let the Voice of Reason talk, there are few people in the world, who are not suffering, whether just inconvenience, or in the poverty informal communities, extreme abuse, as they are violently forced into shacks, to protect the unknown victims from death.

Voice of Reason, what would your community do?
Voice of Reason, what would your community do?

The passionate pleas to be heard, by those suffering poverty and inhumanity, wakes me up to the concept that Human Dictate, as a label, is a white man’s label, whether living in the northern suburbs, the southern suburbs, or the South Western Townships, every community has a set of standards and logic, that dictates their lives, these Voices of Reason, may be vastly different, but every communities Voice of Reason should be heard.

Voice of Reason
Voice of Reason

Author; Cedric de la Harpe