Protection of the human life?

All you supporters of the total lockdown, and in particular, you who qualify  as level 1, 2, 3, or 4, if you looked after your grand-parents and protected them from the virus, the unemployed and informal sector, would be allowed to live freely.

The Spanish Flu, had developed a perception that the blacks carried the virus, the Coronavirus is killing blacks at a higher ratio to whites in the USA and UK, and in the back of the elites minds, is that these higher death ratios, is because a virus is attracted to the black, therefore, we need to protect our suburbs, and the Global Market, till the virus is driven into the sea?

I am elderly, 73 in a few days, a healthy immune system, into my third day of a Hunger Strike, I have really disturbed my wife and family, I am in the process of compromising my immune system.

The conflict at home, is what I would expect from every child, every family, to protect their grand-parents, if every grand-parent who still has children, the children have the responsibility to protect their grand-parents from any virus, from any threat, in particular, if they have a compromised immune system.

The State, has the responsibility to protect those elders who do not have children to protect them.

The Global Market has the right to shut down the world economy, while they restructure the rules of their game, where the small employer, where the informal economy, is not allowed to play your game, no Government should be allowed to sin-bin us, till you have completed the restructuring.

Every individual has the Human Right to live freely, to earn income, to move freely, to drink beer, and to smoke cigarettes, and the protection of the Global Market may never remove this right.

Cedric de la Harpe

How many deaths? Life versus livelihood, Scientists have not started.

There is clearly a difficult tradeoff here concerning lives versus material goods, with very little discussion about how this tradeoff should be assessed and acted upon. 

NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES

THE CORONAVIRUS AND THE GREAT INFLUENZA PANDEMIC: LESSONS FROM THE “SPANISH FLU” FOR THE CORONAVIRUS’S POTENTIAL EFFECTS ON MORTALITY AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

Robert J. Barro José F. Ursúa Joanna Weng

Working Paper 26866 http://www.nber.org/papers/w26866

NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

1050 Massachusetts Avenue

Cambridge, MA 02138

March 2020

Implications for the Coronavirus Pandemic 

The Great Influenza Pandemic of 1918-1920 represents a plausible worst-case scenario for disease outbreaks with global reach like COVID-19. Our findings show that, keeping everything else constant, the flu death rate of 2.0 percent out of the total population in 1918-1920 would translate into 150 million deaths worldwide when applied to the world’s population of around 7.5 billion in 2020. Further, this death rate corresponds in our regression analysis to declines in the typical country by 6 percent for GDP and 8 percent for private consumption. These economic declines are comparable to those last seen during the global Great Recession of 2008-2009. Thus, the possibility exists not only for unprecedented numbers of deaths but also for a major global economic contraction. The results also show that the 1918-20 pandemic was accompanied by substantial short-term declines in real returns on stocks and short-term government bonds, driven by declines in economic activity and also higher inflation. 

At this point, the probability that COVID-19 reaches anything close to the Great Influenza Pandemic seems remote, given advances in public-health care and measures that are being taken to mitigate propagation. In any event, the large potential losses in lives and economic activity justify substantial expenditure of resources to attempt to limit the damage. In effect, countries have been pursuing a policy of lowering real GDP—particularly as it relates to travel and commerce—as a way of curbing the spread of the disease. There is clearly a difficult tradeoff here concerning lives versus material goods, with very little discussion about how this tradeoff should be assessed and acted upon. 

APPLICATION FOR SOUTH AFRICAN PARLIAMENT TO RESCIND THE CORONAVIRUS LEGISLATION:

1:  I, Cedric Raymond de la Harpe, ID 470515 5127 087, hereby make the following statement, in support of my application for the South African Parliament to rescind the Coronavirus Legislation.

2: When making the announcement on Lockdown, the State President basis the decision for the Lockdown, on advice from the Scientists and Medical experts, never providing any details that were provided to our Parliament.

3: On April 22, 2020, I received a copy of a Risk-adjusted strategy for economic activity, an unsigned document under the South African Coat of Arms,  as per the screenshot below;

Risk-adjusted strategy for economic activity

The balance between “lives” and “livelihoods”

Evidence from the Spanish Influenza pandemic of 1918 shows that the long-run economic consequences for cities experiencing a rapid infection rate and high cumulative infections were significantly worse than those for cities enduring temporary restrictions on economic activity.

“On the one hand, NPIs constrain social interactions while they are in place, and thus necessarily depress any type of economic activity that relies on such interactions. On the other hand, because the pandemic itself has severe economic consequences, by reducing the severity of the pandemic, NPIs can mitigate the most severe economic disruptions. While an interruption of economic activity may be inevitable, this interruption can be shorter-lived and less extensive with NPIs in place that solve coordination problems.” (p. 17)

4: This document, gives the impression that these three are the scientists that are direction operations in the Command Centre, and that their research is scientific, and the direction that should be followed.

4.1:The South African Government has used a copy and paste off a document written by the gentlemen, and still in draft form:

Pandemics Depress the Economy, Public Health

Interventions Do Not: Evidence from the 1918 Flu

Sergio Correia, Stephan Luck, and Emil Verner*

[PRELIMINARY – COMMENTS WELCOME]

This draft: April 10, 2020; First draft: March 26, 2020

4.2: I submit that the South African Government has no other scientific research to sustain they continued manipulation of the economy, at the expense of the middle-class, the labourers, the informal traders, the poverty groups, and should they have such, they should identify such.

5: The balance between “lives” and “livelihoods”

5.1: The balance between lives and livelihoods is foreign concept, to South Africa, just two months ago, saving the Rhino, was more important than saving a life.

5.2: The average Influenza death toll in South Africa is 6000 to 11000, and my averment is that the Chinese, The Italian, the USA models that we have followed, have not honestly reported on any seasonal influenza deaths, while they record every Coronavirus infection.

5.3: I submit that the State should show scientific evidence that the principle of sacrificing the economy, in order to save lives, has accepted scientific findings, that show that Italy and the USA, still have the same levels of seasonal influenza deaths, during the Coronavirus season, and therefore, the potential of 11000 seasonal Influenza deaths, will remain, and that they ‘tens of thousands of deaths’ predicted for Coronavirus, will take place.

5.4: I submit that such findings are presently not in place.

6: I submit that this first paragraph needs to be tested in Court;

Evidence from the Spanish Influenza pandemic of 1918 shows that the long-run economic consequences for cities experiencing a rapid infection rate and high cumulative infections were significantly worse than those for cities enduring temporary restrictions on economic activity.

6.1: The evidence in South Africa, does show that the Spanish Influenza pandemic of 1918, showed economic consequences,  for the cities experiencing a rapid infection rate; however;

6.2: Unlike the Coronavirus that attacks the elderly and those with compromised immune systems, the Spanish Flu, mainly killed the labour force, those aged from 15 to 45.

6.3: In South Africa, the labour force died, industry continued operating, where the lives important, and would it be the investors livelihoods that were important.

6.4: One of the findings, was that the labour would have been safer than at work, than at home.

7: 300 000 black people died in South Africa, impacting on their sustainable farming activities, making the black person ‘dependent’ for the first time on the white.

7.1: I quote from Annexure 1, extracted from  a UCT thesis,

BlackOctoberTHE IMPACT

OF THE SPANISH INFLUENZA EPIDEMIC

OF 1918 ON SOUTH AFRICA

by

Howard Phillips, BA Honours (UCT), MA (London)

Yet it was not primarily these assurances which slowly increased the supply of labour during 1919. Far more important were the waning of the ‘flu in the recruiting areas and the pressing shortage of food in areas such as the Transkei and Ciskei. In (part, this stemmed from poor harvests as a result of a severe drought and late planting caused by the epidemic. SO As early as January 1919 a well-informed authority on the Rand was forecasting that,

‘owing to the poor crops in some of the Native Territories and losses suffered through the Epidemic, a considerable increase in the supply of labour~ may be anticipated in the near future.’

7.2: Contrary to the Risk-adjusted strategy for economic activity, the South African strategy, is making the blacks more dependent on the whites, than the Apartheid System ever did.

8: Human Rights; I submit that every human has a right to move freely, to b allowed the opportunity to feed his/her family, and the State has the obligation to provide medical support, to the best of their ability, without taking human rights away from the majority of the population, to protect a scientifically undefined number of people, most of whom have already past their life expectancy.

9: The charity offered to the majority of our population, is an insult to human dignity, the loss of human dignity, is directly related to the gender violence, disobedience, and the burgeoning crime, that presently requires Military Control, supported by the Police and Security.

10:   I now introduce the averments that the State, the declared Coronavirus  has no scientific basis to, and submit that the State will ned to show the Court such.

An open letter to Dr Tedros, #WHO.

An open letter to Dr Tedros, #WHO.

Dear @DrTedros 

I have abused my President the President of South Africa, when the questions I have been asking him, would be in your realm to answer?

I have personally heard you say, that the Coronavirus is not a flu, it is more deadly than any flu that the world has ever experienced. (granted, only heard on TV, and this could be fake news)  

Do you rate the Coronavirus,  more deadly than the 1918 Spanish Flu, which killed 2% of the African population, including  6,6% of the South African black population, a total of 300 000 black souls died in 42 days, a healthy labour force, aged between 18 and 40 years-old.

This leads me to my next question;

“Both the USA and United Kingdom, and attempting to assess why the Coronavirus is proportionately killing more black people than whites? Does the WHO.int have any opinion on this quandary?”

I ask this question, as South Africa’s 1918 Spanish Flu experience was that only 11 000 whites died, only 0,88% of the white population.

As an aged white South African, would this ratio still apply during the Coronavirus, if not, why not?

I have attempted to answer my own questions with regard to the comparison between Coronavirus and Influenza, the USA appears to have published their last flu death tally on March 14, 2020, and Italy, published their last flu death tally on January 23, 2020.

My conclusion to the comparison between Coronavirus and Influenza, is that it will take the medical researchers and statisticians, five years of research, to establish whether the Coronavirus victims, would be part of the seasonal influenza / pneumonia death tallies in the world.

My assessment, is that the 2020 statistics for both Coronavirus and Flu, would fall within the maximum 5 years limits over the past five years occurrences.

One last question, 

“Do you accept that we, the South African community, by sacrificing our economy, our livelihoods, many starving, will have saved tens of thousands of lives.”

Your answers and guidance will be greatly appreciated.

Kind regards

Cedric de la Harpe

@Iama_Victim

Dear President, your speech, invites another open letter

@PresidencyZA              @CyrilRamaphosa

Mr. President, for the first time I hear the aims of how many lives we are saving, “tens of thousands” by sacrificing South Africa’s economy, and our individual freedom and opportunity to feed and educate our families.

Voice of Reason, what would your community do?
Voice of Reason, what would your community do?

My ‘Voice of Reason’ considers the fact that throughout the World, since the introduction of the Free Market, early 1980s, economic and social stratification takes place, where the rich get richer, and the poor poorer, very simply, by buying from China, and other Asian countries, the manufacturing sector moves to the new suppliers, and employment removed from South Africans, any many countries.

Mr. President, I consider the greatest Human Rights abuse in the world, to be any Government, that fails to provide an opportunity for a parent, to feed and educate their children.

Even during World War II, when our fathers went to war to fight for the Commonwealth, our mothers were able to move freely, sourcing food and educating us children, even if they needed to stand in the food queue.

When our fathers were sent to War, the Government, gave no consideration to whether our fathers died for the flag, or how many innocent persons they would be required to kill.

As an 73 year-old man, should the Coronavirus take my life, I will accept it, what I can’t accept, is that for reasons unknown to me, my human rights are abused, and millions of people around the world’s human rights are being abused.

Mr. President, the billions of rand that our Prime Ministers / Presidents have pledged since 1902, has only reached the select minority, linked to the controlling economical and political force.

Towards the end of your President’s speech, April 21, I hear you say that part of the ‘restoration’ process, would be to re-introduce manufacturing back into South Africa.

Manufacturing disappeared in the early 1980s, and it can never be reintroduced, unless the Global Market makes that decision, the Free Market, buys where they wish, and sells where they wish how does the “President’s advisors”, during a period of 26 days, while they are directing the fight against the Coronavirus, make plans to manufacture, in competition with the Free Market.

It is common knowledge, that South Africa does not have the funds to cover the recovery of Eskom, SAA, to keep PRASA, the Post Office, the SABC, operating without regular bale-outs, so I believe that the trillions you have committed to restoration, will come from International loans, funding that will give the Global Market, the power to take control of South Africa.

Mr. President, world leaders are trapped in the control of all things ‘social and economic’ by the very wealthy families of the world, you likewise, are trapped in the China / USA trade conflict, which has trapped the international investors, and all the ‘unusual decisions / actions’ taking place around the world, are part of is Global Market restructuring of their Free Market.

Mr. President, if you are following the Chinese model, and you must be doing so, if you quote the saving of tens of thousands of lives, how do you respond to our China model, on April 07, they have nil deaths, ‘reported’ and lockdown is removed.

We look at the China model:

Period:   01 Jan  to Feb 12   1114 deaths @ ave 25,90/day 

Period:   03 Feb  to Apr 07  2012 deaths @ ave 36,58/day

On April 07 China reports nil deaths, and removes lockdown

Period:   08 Apr  to Apr 21  1506 deaths @ ave 107,57/day

Most Countries around the world, have experienced a ‘second wave of infection’, after removing lockdown, and both China and Japan, attribute the second wave of infection, to the ‘returning migrant workers’, and South Africa, who not only have migrant workers from our rural communities, but from Mozambique and Lesotho also.

Mr. President, we have been exposed to Coronavirus for 52 days, and our death total is 58, @ a rate of 0,0987 per 100000 of our population, when China goes through their 52 days, their death toll is 2918, @ a rate of 0,1941 per 100000.

The China death rate is 2,02 times higher than the South African rate at the same stage exposure, and 55 days later they have only moved to 4632 deaths, @ a rate of 0,3309 per 100000.

Mr. President, I call upon you, to provide details of how you have established that we are in the process of saving ‘tens of thousands of lives’. 

China had reached a level of no deaths of April 07, coinciding with the removal of lockdown, South Africa, I am not sure which model they are presently following, but have started opening lockdown, without me seeing the hidden model, or target that they had aimed for.

As an old man, having challenged the Free Market for many years, my mindset, once China and the USA go into conflict, sees the Global Market move into restructuring the markets, once China go into lockdown, on of South Africa’s main suppliers, may I add, at the expense of ‘buy South Africa’ all countries who buy from China, need to follow them into ‘lockdown’.

If we did not go into lockdown, our wholesalers and retailers would not have stock on the shelves, exposing the Global Markets weakness to the rest of the world, and as South Africa and other countries start to provide for themselves, it would be the end of the Free Market.

The Global Market required South Africa’s lockdown, and today, they place South Africa in a position, where you Mr. President, will not be able to maintain, total lockdown of the formal economy.

China and Japan are producing, and as a major customer of these countries, the Ports needed to be opened, in the interim, the investors of the Global World, need the mining industry to produce.

The Wine exports nearly started, but I am of the opinion that the Global Market is not ready to receive the wine, not till the Global Market removes the restrictions on alcohol outlets.

Mr. President, I have no bone to pick with you, the Global Market has dictated your actions, I personally have no objection to how you remove lockdown, the control that the world economy has, requires the formal economy to participate in the Global World, my only requirement is that we accept that we will have between 6000 and 11000 deaths before September 2020, open the informal economy urgently, this will relieve the pressures of the agricultural economy, as we get supplies into the majority of the population.

Our farmers are unable to sell their all the produce, and our poverty groups can benefit from cheap prices, until the economy returns to normal.

But then, our Corporate Supermarkets, part of the Global World, may lose their link permanently.

Please allow the African families to bury their families according to their culture, the family will protect the family and their communities. If we do not do this, the bodies will pile up, traditionally, we have 100 000 elderly dying every year,not related to the Coronavirus, they have a Human Right, to bury their elders according to their culture.

My blogs are published in the interests of the poverty groups, and your Consultants and Advisors are welcome to contact me, maybe they could give me the motivations for why our Human Rights should be abused?

Till you next public address.

Cedric de la Harpe

cedric@cedricdelaHarpe.co.za

 

South Africa should prepare for 6000 deaths;

Lockdown is aimed at saving lives, and at no stage has the system identified how many lives we can save, and how many deaths we can expect.

This blog, calls for you to apply your own ‘Voice of Reason’ to where South Africa health and depressed economy is, and not accept what you hear from others, including me.

Voice of Reason, what would your community do?
Voice of Reason, what would your community do?

Although South Africa, is only entering the Coronavirus exponential curve for the deaths that are occurring, South Africa enters the removal of the ‘lockdown’.

April 20 SA Deaths
April 20 SA Deaths

Coronavirus first comes to my attention on February 12, 2020, I had just completed the manuscript, Human Dictate, based on my prediction that the world economic and political structures would bring our new world order between 2023 and 2028, and encourage South Africans to prepare for the new order, that I name Human Dictate.

Coinciding with my move to promote Human Dictate, the Coronavirus comes to my attention, and that conflict exists between the USA and China, and my first assessment of what is taking place, is that the virus is man made, and the intention of the virus, is to allow economic powers to reestablish the large powers, diminishing control over the world global market.

In China, the virus appeared to have exploded like a bomb, infecting and killing 1 114 in some six weeks.

Today April 21, 2020, as we start to reopen our economy, our leaders having followed China as on of the models, must be aware that death is unavoidable,   following the China model, our leaders must prepare our population, for the imminent deaths, that are already escalating.

We look at the China model:

Period:   01 Jan  to Feb 12   1114 deaths @ ave 25,90/day 

Period:   03 Feb  to Apr 07  2012 deaths @ ave 36,58/day

On April 07 China reports nil deaths, and removes lockdown

Period:   08 Apr  to Apr 21  1506 deaths @ ave 107,57/day

Most Countries around the world, have experienced a ‘second wave of infection’, after removing lockdown, and both China and Japan, attribute the second wave of infection, to the ‘returning migrant workers’, and South Africa, who not only have migrant workers from our rural communities, but from Mozambique and Lesotho also.

China had reached a level of no deaths of April 07, coinciding with the removal of lockdown, South Africa, I am not sure which model they are presently following, but have started opening lockdown, without me seeing the hidden model, or target that they had aimed for.

The Global Market, supported South Africa’s lockdown, and today, they place South Africa in a position where the President will not be able to maintain, total lockdown of the formal economy.

China and Japan are producing, and as a major customer of these countries, the Ports need to be opened, in the interim, the investors of the Global World, need the mining industry to produce.

The Wine exports nearly started, but I am of the opinion that the Global Market is not ready to receive the wine, not till the Global Market removes the restrictions on alcohol outlets.

I personally have no objection to how the President is removing lockdown, the situation that the world economy is in, requires the formal economy to participate in the Global World, my suggestion is that we open the informal economy urgently, we will relieve of agricultural economy.

Every South African needs to have their minds freed from the fear of Coronavirus, and we all need to accept that we are going to have deaths, the following graph (Red Line) indicates that we could have as many as 8 500 deaths, as a Country, our target should be 6 000, we have had a lot of preparation for what is coming.

Kaalvoet Coronavirus deaths curve predictions
Kaalvoet Coronavirus deaths curve prediction

The other lines on the graph, is South Africa seasonal flu deaths, that take place every year, minimum and maximum, provided we are allowed to live our lives, and bury our dead without restriction, the bodies will not pile up.

The only issue that I have not discussed yet, is just how many seasonal virus deaths, will compete with Corona?

Cedric de la Harpe

FIRST STEP TO RECOVERY

Voice of Reason:

On April 02, 2020, Amazon-KDP,  blocked the manuscript with the title,  Voice of Reason, this, in my opinion, is due to the cover, and in particular, the question asked on the Cover;

Voice of Reason, what would your community do?
Voice of Reason, what would your community do?

I obviously would have handled it differently, and thus the  manuscript, and in particular my question.

My intention when writing the  manuscript, very simply, was to get every South African, to start thinking about how they would handle every aspect that effects, or,  affects their lives.

On April 05, 2020,  I entered social media with  post, showing that the Coronavirus projected exponential curve, had flattened, but indicated that I expected spikes from April 05 to 09, and that I would remain exiled from Social Media, till this period is over.

The Curve levels off.
The Curve levels off.

Importantly, as I provide my input on moving forward, this above graph, i celebrate, not because the Curve was flattening, but I Scientists and Consultants, had set their understanding of what they were trying to achieve, the lockdown would flatten the exponential curve, projected to achieve 5000 positive cases by April 01.

The Curve had ‘flattened’ and the system should have maintained the status quo, the system had tested 44 292 by April 01, and testing is introduced with a vengeance on April 01,  in the next fifteen days, another 50 000 tests are conducted, and the projected 5 000 positives are still days away.

This is my last comment on testing and the number of cases, from now I only discuss the deaths and death ratios, if it is lives we are saving, let us talk life and death.

Our “First Step to Recovery” is to scrutinise a few ‘selected countries’ and their death ratios on April 19, 2020,  (fig below) your comments on the death ratios is invited, should you wish me to add a specific country of interest to the table. Please advise me on email.

I make no comment on my next move, death and death ratios, life and death statistics, will allow us to move forward.

death ratios / 100000
death ratios / 100000

Cedric de la Harpe

cedric@cedricdelaharpe.co.za

 

 

 

 

 

INFECTED THROUGH INTENT OR GROSS NEGLIGENCE?

FOOLS RUSH IN WHERE WISE MEN FEAR TO TREAD

In the USA, the coloured population have a higher death rate than the whites, and yesterday, during the 10 Downing Street media questions, it was admitted that the trend is showing in many of the United Kingdom areas, and they were very concerned about the trend and they needed to investigate it.

For days my black brothers and sisters have questioned this white old man about whether there is not an outside force directing the virus into the black communities, with intent, as happened in the spread of HIV. (Any one wish to question one of the videos sent to me, I will forward it with pleasure.)

The latest question with  video, posted to me last night, this causes me to go to the only detailed figures published, that of the Western Cape Provincial Government, and my conclusion is;

“Whether the infection was done through intent or gross negligence, only the responsible persons can answer thereto.”

The  Kyayalitsha and Mitchells Plain, Coronavirus   Curve Graph, and the official announcement by the Premier, provides the ‘Voice of Reason’ that brings  my conclusion, the trigger that frees Coronavirus Curve,  takes place between April 03, and April 06, when the news is published, and the Graph below, fills in the details;

I quote an April 06, published report that could have been implement from April 03?

6 April 2020

View all News

The Minister of Community Safety, Albert Fritz, commends the 500 newly deployed law enforcement officers, appointed through the Western Cape Safety Plan, who are playing a commendable role in supporting the enforcement of the lockdown. The law enforcement officers are supporting SAPS and SANDF as part of a joint effort.

Law Enforcement Advancement Plan (LEAP) law enforcement officers are supporting the lockdown by:

Working in 12-hour shifts at the Strandfontein SafeSpace to ensure that homeless individuals are kept safe;

Supporting the Covid-19 response team by operating in conjunction with SAPS and the Anti-Gang Unit to perform Covid-19 related operations and crime prevention operations within the various clusters;

Being deployed within the 8 clusters attending to Covid-19 complaints dispatched by the107 Control Centre; and

Assisting in the 8 clusters with a response team attached to the Covid-19 response team, particularly in response to gatherings, events and taverns operating in the respective areas.

Minister Fritz said, “I wish to commend the 500 newly deployed law enforcement officers who are supporting the joint command of SAPS and SANDF. These officers have been deployed in the Khayelitsha, Lenteqeur, Nyanga (including Bishop Lavis), Milnerton, Bellville, Wynberg, Delft, and Cape Town clusters. Additionally, they are supporting the Covid-19 response team and the Strandontein SafeSpace established to protect homeless individuals during the outbreak.”

“Over the course of the lockdown period, we have seen a staggering decline in crime and, in particular, alleged murder admissions or suspected murders. In the 14th week of 2020, there 31 suspected murders. Whilst this remains 31 deaths too many, this figure is considerably lower than the same period last year in which there were 105 suspected murders. In total, that marks a 70.5% decrease in suspected murders,” said Minister Fritz.

End of extracted quote:

Kyayalitsh and Mitchells Plain
Kyayalitsh and Mitchells Plain

Cedric de la Harpe

 

Gauteng home to 120 International Carriers.

Gauteng, no matter what the system would like me to believe, had levelled out off the initial 120 International Virus carriers by Day 1, and according to all the international experts, I listen to on the TV, one this levelling takes place the ‘reproductive ratio’ is down to Ro of 1, this is the stage, when one infected person, on average, only infects 1 further person.

This is no magic state of the virus, very simply the system has control of the new infections, and as this takes place, so the reproductive rate decreases, till it disappears.

Gauteng had 120 carriers with international travel credentials,  and by March 22, there were 12 local infections.

I am of the opinion, that the majority of international travellers who tested positive were South African, as Mpumalanga and the Garden Route remains unscathed.

At this stage the system had complete control of the 132, and thus the dip in the Graph.

The majority of daily / low level employees, were paid off on March 25, unlike their suburban counterparts, they had no shopping time and under threat by the Police and Military that they would be arrested if they were found on the streets, they went shopping on Day 1&2.

I personally have no issue with what I saw, in terms of contraventions of the social separation concept, what I have seen since Day 1, is the close interaction with people who do not belong in the community, the media, the police, the military, and the ‘total lockdown’ volunteers.

The actions of the military and the police, and here I do not refer to the abuse, I am talking about the ‘close quarters’ interaction, there would have been no system assurance  that one of these individuals were no carriers.

With Gauteng, having possibly lost some of their carriers to other Provinces, the Curve should have continued on the downward, trend, and within two weeks, Gauteng could have been cleared, instead, the movement of the curve has returned.

Gauteng Coronavirus Curve
Gauteng Coronavirus Curve

The ration of local infections, in elation to the 120 International Carriers, is 7,48 per carrier, April 17.

We need to watch the drastic movement that we see over the past two days, of great concern is the seven day trend curve, that indicates that these are not two stats that can be ignored.

Cedric de la Harpe